Supercar ownership has become increasingly challenging due to the ongoing conflict in Iran. This war has disrupted gas prices and the availability of spare parts, while tariffs imposed by President Trump have complicated matters further. Experts warn that the world is running low on base oil, a key ingredient necessary for maintaining high-performance engines, with shortages expected within a month.
Base oil is essential for various lubricants, including engine oil. Gabriella Twining, head of base oils pricing at Argus Media, explained that if supplies do not improve, stocks will run out in a month. While it is possible to delay oil changes temporarily, it would likely lead to higher costs and reduced availability.
The conflict has worsened an already tight supply of these vital oils. If a region were damaged and a critical oil refinery became inoperable, it could trigger a significant shortage.
Earlier this week, the Independent Lubricant Manufacturers Association (ILMA) issued a report detailing the causes of the “2026 Global Base Oil Supply Crisis.” This document highlighted challenges in sourcing Group III base oil, which is crucial for supercar engine performance. Refineries in Qatar are offline due to damage, and the others in the region face export difficulties.
ILMA’s CEO Holly Alfano pointed out that nearly 75% of US Group III imports are under significant pressure, affecting the industry’s ability to find alternatives.
Alfano also noted that the upcoming hurricane season could further strain supplies. Consumers may face delays in receiving maintenance services, including oil changes. Recent reports suggest that major oil suppliers like Mobil and Shell are facing shortages, which could soon leave empty shelves in stores. With a resolution to the crisis not expected for at least a year, the future of luxury vehicle owners looks uncertain.
