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Stress along the San Andreas and San Jacinto faults in Southern California has reached the highest levels in 1,000 years, according to new research from the University of Hawaii at Manoa. This discovery is important for understanding earthquake risks in a region with many people and vital infrastructure.
Scientist Liliane Burkhard stated that the area might be able to experience a significant rupture affecting both fault systems. Researchers found that Cajon Pass may sometimes block large ruptures and sometimes allow them to connect, causing a big earthquake involving both faults at once.
To study this, researchers created a model that simulatesstress buildup on these faults, including the Cajon Pass. They used 1,000 years of earthquake history to estimate stress levels. Burkhard noted that stress is now at a historically high level, and more than 160 years have passed since the last major rupture. This means the faults are under a lot of pressure.
The study showed that stress has been growing and could lead to a large earthquake affecting crowded areas like Los Angeles and Riverside. The San Andreas Fault, which runs about 650 miles, is the main boundary between the Pacific and North American tectonic plates.