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Veteran investor Jeremy Grantham has claimed that the recent surge in artificial intelligence has made the U.S. stock market the most expensive in its history. He stated this during an interview on CNBC’s “Squawk Box.” Grantham suggests that, when comparing the stock market value to the gross domestic product (GDP), the current market is unprecedentedly costly.
He referred to the Buffett indicator, conceived by investor Warren Buffett, which compares the stock market’s total value to the economy’s size. According to calculations, the market’s capitalisation relative to GDP stands at an astonishing 235%, meaning the stock market’s value is more than double that of the U.S. economy.
Grantham mentioned that while it’s hard to predict market timing, a peak could be nearing. He has a reputation for predicting downturns and has issued similar warnings in the past, including one earlier this year. He stated that the long-term outlook for U.S. stocks now appears bleak.
Additionally, he discussed SpaceX, which experienced a strong initial public offering (IPO). Although its share price soared initially, Grantham warned that it could face a significant decline, similar to what happened to Amazon after the dot-com bubble burst. He believes that SpaceX’s estimated $2 trillion valuation reflects excessive market enthusiasm.
Grantham concluded that this IPO might represent a critical moment in market history, indicating a potential turning point in investor sentiment.